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F Palmer & ME Palmer
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The Fabric of Finance - The Regulators (Part 9)

10 Sep 2021

Regulatory compliance promotes confidence in our financial system and is expensive—but it surely beats the alternative. This short essay throws light on what, who and how.

The Fabric of Finance - The Intermediaries (Part 8)

11 Aug 2021

Intermediaries perform unique tasks that create benefits for those seeking products and services and those who provide them. They lubricate to reduce market friction in commerce, diplomacy and personal matters. 

Our financial fabric could not be the success that it is today without its vast intermediary force.

The Fabric of Finance - Real Estate (Part 7)

27 Jul 2021

In Australia, the economic size and importance of property is staggering. There is a concept called the Australian dream, and a substantial portion of it involves real estate. 

Property is a vitally important asset class that is perhaps under appreciated by some and over-estimated by others…

Extrapolation Bias

31 Jan 2020
Extrapolation Bias

In its simplest form, extrapolation bias is the tendency of an investor to overestimate recent events when making decisions about the future. In short, to forecast overly optimistically in rising markets, the reverse when they have fallen. This bias, as with so many related to personal investing, does not serve investors well.

The Gambler’s Fallacy

30 Jan 2020
The Gambler’s Fallacy

Human behaviour seeks to identify patterns in outcomes and react according to intuition, even if it is faulty. One of the best examples of this lies in how people choose to wager on an outcome based on observation. Astute mathematicians have dismissed such behaviour as being fallacious and investors should take note.

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